Daily Card (historical view)
May 11, 2026 · Fairview Polytrack
🏇 Fairview today — check
@TurfTalk1
(Nadine Low Ah Kee) for her Fairview-specific picks before finalising bets.
Card Outcome
+R107.42
6 of 13 bets paid · 2 refunds
Win Bets
| Horse | Race | SP | Trainer / Jockey | Conf | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMANZIMTEXAS{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ | R13:00 | 26x | Juan Nel / C Little | ★★★★★ | R1 | 1 ★ | +R25.00 |
Place Bets
| Horse | Race | SP | Conf | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICELESS TREASURE{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ SPREAD | R13:00 | 3x | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | 7 | R-5.00 |
| HOERIKWAGGO{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ SPREAD | R14:10 | 4x | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | 4 | R-5.00 |
| HOSPICES DE BEAUNE{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ SPREAD | R15:30 | 5x | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | 3 ✓ | +R3.06 |
| NAUTICAL LANDING{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ SPREAD | R15:55 | 4x | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | 4 | R-5.00 |
| HOMING PIGEON{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ BANKER | R16:45 | 2x | ★★★★☆ | R5 | 3 ✓ | +R0.56 |
Swingers
| Race | Horse 1 | Horse 2 | Conf | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R14:45 | DAFFODIL DELIGHT | MOSCOW MISS | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | ✓ | +R10.50 |
| R15:20 | SILVONIAN | THUNDER MASTER | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | SCR ↩ | refund |
| R15:30 | SILVONIAN | HOSPICES DE BEAUNE | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | ✓ | +R38.50 |
| R15:55 | GOLDEN GREY | NAUTICAL LANDING | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| R16:05 | SUPREME JUDGE | PARDON ME | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
VALUE PLACE Outsider Value PLACE
R5 stake · 8+ runner fieldsSame horses as the Outsider WIN list, bet on the PLACE market instead. Hits ~1 in 5 with longshot dividends. Backtest: ~+70% ROI across 5 years, positive every year. Low volume (~1 per week).
| Race | Horse | SP | Conf | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R13:00 | AMANZIMTEXAS{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL ✓ | 26x | ★★★★☆ | R8 | 1 ✓ | +R56.80 |
SP 13-17 WIN Experimental · Win market
R1 stake · alerted runners onlyOutsider alert (any tier) with SP 13-17 at this venue — 180-day backtest showed +35% to +88% ROI here, a band the standard SP≥20 outsider WIN floor was hard-skipping. New as of 2026-06-10 — treat as experimental until 8 weeks of live data confirm the shape.
| Race | Horse | SP | Trainer | Tier | Conf | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R13:35 | FOCAL POINT{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ | 15.0x | Emmanuel Kaknis | GOLDEN | ★★★☆☆ | R1 | ✗ | R-1.00 |
| R15:55 | ALADO'S PRIDE{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ | 15.0x | Zietsman Oosthuizen | GOLDEN | ★★★☆☆ | R1 | SCR ↩ | refund |
| R16:35 | SPOIL YOURSELF{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ | 15.0x | Jacques Strydom | GOLDEN | ★★★☆☆ | R1 | ✗ | R-1.00 |
DOUBLES
Optional · Advanced Bet
14 chains · R70.0
+R49.30 · 3/14 cashed
▼
Cross-race chains on your place picks. Stake R5 on the first horse — if it places, the full return rolls onto the second. Backtest: ~+15% ROI long-term. Treat as variance-heavy upside, not core.
| Leg A | → Leg B | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMANZIMTEXAS R13:00 · OAWP ★★★★☆ | HOERIKWAGGO R14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| AMANZIMTEXAS R13:00 · OAWP ★★★★☆ | HOSPICES DE BEAUNE R15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | 1→3 ✓ | +R60.27 |
| AMANZIMTEXAS R13:00 · OAWP ★★★★☆ | NAUTICAL LANDING R15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| AMANZIMTEXAS R13:00 · OAWP ★★★★☆ | HOMING PIGEON R16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R5.0 | 1→3 ✓ | +R40.06 |
| PRICELESS TREASURE R13:00 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOERIKWAGGO R14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| PRICELESS TREASURE R13:00 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOSPICES DE BEAUNE R15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| PRICELESS TREASURE R13:00 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | NAUTICAL LANDING R15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| PRICELESS TREASURE R13:00 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOMING PIGEON R16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| HOERIKWAGGO R14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOSPICES DE BEAUNE R15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| HOERIKWAGGO R14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | NAUTICAL LANDING R15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| HOERIKWAGGO R14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOMING PIGEON R16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| HOSPICES DE BEAUNE R15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | NAUTICAL LANDING R15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| HOSPICES DE BEAUNE R15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOMING PIGEON R16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R5.0 | 3→3 ✓ | +R3.97 |
| NAUTICAL LANDING R15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOMING PIGEON R16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
TRIPLES
Optional · Advanced Bet
16 chains · R32.0
R-2.95 · 1/16 cashed
▼
3-leg ATC chains on your place picks. Stake R2 — if it places, return rolls onto the second, then the third. All three must place to cash. Backtest: ~+2.5% ROI, 31% hit rate.
| Leg A | → Leg B | → Leg C | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMANZIMTEXAS 13:00 · OAWP ★★★★☆ | HOERIKWAGGO 14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOSPICES DE BEAUNE 15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| AMANZIMTEXAS 13:00 · OAWP ★★★★☆ | HOERIKWAGGO 14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | NAUTICAL LANDING 15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| AMANZIMTEXAS 13:00 · OAWP ★★★★☆ | HOERIKWAGGO 14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOMING PIGEON 16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| AMANZIMTEXAS 13:00 · OAWP ★★★★☆ | HOSPICES DE BEAUNE 15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | NAUTICAL LANDING 15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| AMANZIMTEXAS 13:00 · OAWP ★★★★☆ | HOSPICES DE BEAUNE 15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOMING PIGEON 16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R2.0 | 1→3→3 ✓ | +R27.05 |
| AMANZIMTEXAS 13:00 · OAWP ★★★★☆ | NAUTICAL LANDING 15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOMING PIGEON 16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| PRICELESS TREASURE 13:00 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOERIKWAGGO 14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOSPICES DE BEAUNE 15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| PRICELESS TREASURE 13:00 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOERIKWAGGO 14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | NAUTICAL LANDING 15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| PRICELESS TREASURE 13:00 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOERIKWAGGO 14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOMING PIGEON 16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| PRICELESS TREASURE 13:00 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOSPICES DE BEAUNE 15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | NAUTICAL LANDING 15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| PRICELESS TREASURE 13:00 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOSPICES DE BEAUNE 15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOMING PIGEON 16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| PRICELESS TREASURE 13:00 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | NAUTICAL LANDING 15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOMING PIGEON 16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| HOERIKWAGGO 14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOSPICES DE BEAUNE 15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | NAUTICAL LANDING 15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| HOERIKWAGGO 14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOSPICES DE BEAUNE 15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOMING PIGEON 16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| HOERIKWAGGO 14:10 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | NAUTICAL LANDING 15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOMING PIGEON 16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| HOSPICES DE BEAUNE 15:30 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | NAUTICAL LANDING 15:55 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | HOMING PIGEON 16:45 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
EXACTA
Consensus Box · Optional
4 boxes · R24 · R2/perm
▼
≥2 horses both in HP top-3 AND backed by ≥4 tipsters — boxed in all directions. Backtest: ~44% race HR / +103% ROI (T≥4) on real tote dividends.
| Race | Horses (boxed) | T: | Conf | Perms | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R12:25 | ROCK ME MAMA/ ROSES FOR TREX/ ON THE OUTSIDE BOX | T:6 | ★★★☆☆ | 6 | R12 | ✗ | −R12 |
| R13:00 | GREEN POINT/ PRICELESS TREASURE BOX | T:6 | ★★★☆☆ | 2 | R4 | ✗ | −R4 |
| R14:10 | RAVILIOUS/ HOERIKWAGGO BOX | T:6 | ★★★☆☆ | 2 | R4 | ✗ | −R4 |
| R15:20 | SILVONIAN/ THUNDER MASTER BOX | T:6 | ★★★☆☆ | 2 | R4 | — | — |
| Total | R24 | ||||||
🎯 Upset Watch No stake · SP 10-13 · watch for race upsets
Mid-tier horses with a hot T×J combo + sliding handicap mark or fresh return. Historical 32-33% place rate in this band (vs 29% baseline). Not a card bet — indicator only.
| Horse | Race | SP | Trainer | Signals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRIPPING THUNDER | R14:10 | 11x | Juan Nel | T×J hot OR sliding fresh return |
Win: R1
Place: R5+5+5+5+5
Value Place: R8
SP13-17: R1+1+1
Swingers: R5+5+5+5+5
Optionals: R126.0
Total: R62
+ R126.0 optionals
· D:R70.0
· T:R32.0
· EX:R24