Daily Card (historical view)
May 16, 2026 · Turffontein Inside
Card Outcome
R-15.20
2 of 6 bets paid
Venue Confidence Reduced — stakes scaled to 0.8×
30d ROI: -18.9% (33 bets) · 90d ROI: -29.4% (121 bets)
Win Bets
No qualifying win bets today.
Place Bets
| Horse | Race | SP | Conf | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CELTIC MANOR{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ BANKER | R13:55 | 2x | ★★★★☆ | R4 | 3 ✓ | R0.00 |
| ARIOVISTUS{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ TIGHT-3 | R15:40 | 5x | ★★☆☆☆ | R4 | 6 | R-4.00 |
| UMZINGELI WENYATHI{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ BANKER | R16:50 | 2x | ★★★★☆ | R4 | 1 ✓ | +R0.80 |
Swingers
| Race | Horse 1 | Horse 2 | Conf | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R15:05 | THOONSIL | REPETITION | ★★☆☆☆ | R4 | ✗ | R-4.00 |
| R15:40 | FUTURE GAMBLE | ARIOVISTUS | ★★☆☆☆ | R4 | ✗ | R-4.00 |
| R16:15 | ZIYASHA | LEAD THE CHARGE | ★★☆☆☆ | R4 | ✗ | R-4.00 |
DOUBLES
Optional · Advanced Bet
3 chains · R15.0
R-9.00 · 1/3 cashed
▼
Cross-race chains on your place picks. Stake R5 on the first horse — if it places, the full return rolls onto the second. Backtest: ~+15% ROI long-term. Treat as variance-heavy upside, not core.
| Leg A | → Leg B | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CELTIC MANOR R13:55 · M1 ★★★★☆ | ARIOVISTUS R15:40 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| CELTIC MANOR R13:55 · M1 ★★★★☆ | UMZINGELI WENYATHI R16:50 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R5.0 | 3→1 ✓ | +R1.00 |
| ARIOVISTUS R15:40 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | UMZINGELI WENYATHI R16:50 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
TRIPLES
Optional · Advanced Bet
1 chains · R2.0
R-2.00 · 0/1 cashed
▼
3-leg ATC chains on your place picks. Stake R2 — if it places, return rolls onto the second, then the third. All three must place to cash. Backtest: ~+2.5% ROI, 31% hit rate.
| Leg A | → Leg B | → Leg C | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CELTIC MANOR 13:55 · M1 ★★★★☆ | ARIOVISTUS 15:40 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | UMZINGELI WENYATHI 16:50 · M1 ★★★★☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
🎯 Upset Watch No stake · SP 10-13 · watch for race upsets
Mid-tier horses with a hot T×J combo + sliding handicap mark or fresh return. Historical 32-33% place rate in this band (vs 29% baseline). Not a card bet — indicator only.
| Horse | Race | SP | Trainer | Signals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BE MY FATE | R13:55 | 11x | Dianne Stenger | T×J hot fresh return |
| BUSTER BARNES | R14:30 | 11x | Mike / Mathew de Kock | T×J hot OR sliding fresh return |
| SAND SCRIPT | R15:05 | 11x | Sean Tarry | T×J hot fresh return |
| TERRENCE | R15:05 | 11x | Alec Laird | T×J hot OR sliding |