Daily Card (historical view)
July 5, 2026 · Turffontein Inside
Card Outcome
R-36.00
2 of 8 bets paid
Venue Confidence Reduced — stakes scaled to 0.8×
30d ROI: -18.9% (33 bets) · 90d ROI: -29.4% (121 bets)
Win Bets
No qualifying win bets today.
Place Bets
| Horse | Race | SP | Conf | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ERIK'S GIRL{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL ✓ BANKER | R11:35 | 34x | ★★★★☆ | R18 | 6 | R-18.00 |
| STAR MAGNOLIA{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ BANKER | R11:35 | 3x | ★★★★☆ | R4 | 1 ✓ | +R1.60 |
| EXPERT WITNESS{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ TIGHT-3 | R13:15 | 7x | ★★☆☆☆ | R4 | 8 | R-4.00 |
| LEANNE'S LOVE{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL ✓ SPREAD | R13:50 | 76x | ★★★★☆ | R12 | 8 | R-12.00 |
| SPICY PLUM{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ SPREAD | R13:50 | 8x | ★★☆☆☆ | R4 | 6 | R-4.00 |
| TOP SHELF TEDDY{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} TIGHT-3 | R16:45 | 17x | ★★☆☆☆ | R4 | 6 | R-4.00 |
Swingers
| Race | Horse 1 | Horse 2 | Conf | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R15:35 | TAXI TO THE MOON | AFRICAN PRIDE | ★★☆☆☆ | R4 | ✓ | +R8.40 |
| R16:45 | HARUN AL RASHID | TOP SHELF TEDDY | ★★☆☆☆ | R4 | ✗ | R-4.00 |
DOUBLES
Optional · Advanced Bet
13 chains · R65.0
R-65.00 · 0/13 cashed
▼
Cross-race chains on your place picks. Stake R5 on the first horse — if it places, the full return rolls onto the second. Backtest: ~+15% ROI long-term. Treat as variance-heavy upside, not core.
| Leg A | → Leg B | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ERIK'S GIRL R11:35 · OA ★★★★☆ | EXPERT WITNESS R13:15 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| ERIK'S GIRL R11:35 · OA ★★★★☆ | LEANNE'S LOVE R13:50 · OA ★★★★☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| ERIK'S GIRL R11:35 · OA ★★★★☆ | SPICY PLUM R13:50 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| ERIK'S GIRL R11:35 · OA ★★★★☆ | TOP SHELF TEDDY R16:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| STAR MAGNOLIA R11:35 · M1 ★★★★☆ | EXPERT WITNESS R13:15 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| STAR MAGNOLIA R11:35 · M1 ★★★★☆ | LEANNE'S LOVE R13:50 · OA ★★★★☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| STAR MAGNOLIA R11:35 · M1 ★★★★☆ | SPICY PLUM R13:50 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| STAR MAGNOLIA R11:35 · M1 ★★★★☆ | TOP SHELF TEDDY R16:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| EXPERT WITNESS R13:15 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | LEANNE'S LOVE R13:50 · OA ★★★★☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| EXPERT WITNESS R13:15 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | SPICY PLUM R13:50 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| EXPERT WITNESS R13:15 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | TOP SHELF TEDDY R16:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| LEANNE'S LOVE R13:50 · OA ★★★★☆ | TOP SHELF TEDDY R16:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| SPICY PLUM R13:50 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | TOP SHELF TEDDY R16:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
TRIPLES
Optional · Advanced Bet
12 chains · R24.0
R-24.00 · 0/12 cashed
▼
3-leg ATC chains on your place picks. Stake R2 — if it places, return rolls onto the second, then the third. All three must place to cash. Backtest: ~+2.5% ROI, 31% hit rate.
| Leg A | → Leg B | → Leg C | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ERIK'S GIRL 11:35 · OA ★★★★☆ | EXPERT WITNESS 13:15 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | LEANNE'S LOVE 13:50 · OA ★★★★☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| ERIK'S GIRL 11:35 · OA ★★★★☆ | EXPERT WITNESS 13:15 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | SPICY PLUM 13:50 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| ERIK'S GIRL 11:35 · OA ★★★★☆ | EXPERT WITNESS 13:15 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | TOP SHELF TEDDY 16:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| ERIK'S GIRL 11:35 · OA ★★★★☆ | LEANNE'S LOVE 13:50 · OA ★★★★☆ | TOP SHELF TEDDY 16:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| ERIK'S GIRL 11:35 · OA ★★★★☆ | SPICY PLUM 13:50 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | TOP SHELF TEDDY 16:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| STAR MAGNOLIA 11:35 · M1 ★★★★☆ | EXPERT WITNESS 13:15 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | LEANNE'S LOVE 13:50 · OA ★★★★☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| STAR MAGNOLIA 11:35 · M1 ★★★★☆ | EXPERT WITNESS 13:15 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | SPICY PLUM 13:50 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| STAR MAGNOLIA 11:35 · M1 ★★★★☆ | EXPERT WITNESS 13:15 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | TOP SHELF TEDDY 16:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| STAR MAGNOLIA 11:35 · M1 ★★★★☆ | LEANNE'S LOVE 13:50 · OA ★★★★☆ | TOP SHELF TEDDY 16:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| STAR MAGNOLIA 11:35 · M1 ★★★★☆ | SPICY PLUM 13:50 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | TOP SHELF TEDDY 16:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| EXPERT WITNESS 13:15 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | LEANNE'S LOVE 13:50 · OA ★★★★☆ | TOP SHELF TEDDY 16:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
| EXPERT WITNESS 13:15 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | SPICY PLUM 13:50 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | TOP SHELF TEDDY 16:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R2.0 | ✗ | R-2.00 |
EXACTA
Consensus Box · Optional
5 boxes · R52 · R2/perm
+R-0.60 ✓
+R-6.60 ✓
+R-3.80 ✓
▼
≥2 horses both in HP top-3 AND backed by ≥4 tipsters — boxed in all directions. Backtest: ~44% race HR / +103% ROI (T≥4) on real tote dividends.
| Race | Horses (boxed) | T: | Conf | Perms | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R12:05 | ENFLAME/ MO MENT BOX ENFLAME → MO MENT | T:6 | ★★★☆☆ | 2 | R4 | ✓ | +R-0.60 |
| R12:40 | WITHIN REACH/ IMPRESSIVE/ SECRET FATE BOX | T:5 | ★★☆☆☆ | 6 | R12 | ✗ | −R12 |
| R14:25 | THE EQUATOR/ KING'S EXPRESS/ WILD INTENT BOX | T:6 | ★★★☆☆ | 6 | R12 | ✗ | −R12 |
| R15:00 | ERROL FLYNN/ CHRONICLE KING/ COPPER EAGLE BOX ERROL FLYNN → CHRONICLE KING | T:6 | ★★★☆☆ | 6 | R12 | ✓ | +R-6.60 |
| R16:45 | HARUN AL RASHID/ TOP SHELF TEDDY/ SKY PILOT BOX SKY PILOT → HARUN AL RASHID | T:5 | ★★☆☆☆ | 6 | R12 | ✓ | +R-3.80 |
| Total | R52 | ||||||
🎯 Upset Watch No stake · SP 10-13 · watch for race upsets
Mid-tier horses with a hot T×J combo + sliding handicap mark or fresh return. Historical 32-33% place rate in this band (vs 29% baseline). Not a card bet — indicator only.
| Horse | Race | SP | Trainer | Signals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEAR DOC | R13:15 | 11x | Alson Ndzilana | T×J hot fresh return |
| COPPER EAGLE | R15:00 | 11x | Robyn Klaasen | T×J hot OR sliding |
| CHARMING CHEETAH | R15:35 | 11x | Robyn Klaasen | T×J hot fresh return |
Win: R
Place: R18+4+4+12+4+4
Swingers: R4+4
Optionals: R141.0
Total: R54
+ R141.0 optionals
· D:R65.0
· T:R24.0
· EX:R52