Daily Card (historical view)
July 14, 2026 · Hollywoodbets Durbanville
Card Outcome
+R21.00
4 of 8 bets paid
Venue Confidence Reduced — stakes scaled to 0.99×
30d ROI: -79.1% (11 bets) · 90d ROI: -20.2% (43 bets)
Win Bets
No qualifying win bets today.
Place Bets
| Horse | Race | SP | Conf | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LE CONCIERGE{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ TIGHT-3 | R12:50 | 3x | ★★★★☆ | R5 | 6 | R-5.00 |
| LE TISSIER{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} TIGHT-3 | R12:50 | 21x | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | 3 ✓ | +R9.50 |
| TAKE IT AS RED{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} CL △ SPREAD | R15:45 | 6x | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | 2 ✓ | +R2.50 |
Swingers
| Race | Horse 1 | Horse 2 | Conf | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R13:25 | PALACE GIFT | BLACK ERIKA | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| R14:00 | TRIP TO CAMELOT | BACKINTHEFASTLANE | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| R14:35 | BEER WITH THE BOYS | ETOILEFILLANTE | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| R15:45 | FINAL CALL | TAKE IT AS RED | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | ✓ | +R15.00 |
| R16:55 | CLARK GRISWOLD | MIAMI SUMMER | ★★☆☆☆ | R5 | ✓ | +R14.00 |
DOUBLES
Optional · Advanced Bet
2 chains · R10.0
+R11.75 · 1/2 cashed
▼
Cross-race chains on your place picks. Stake R5 on the first horse — if it places, the full return rolls onto the second. Backtest: ~+15% ROI long-term. Treat as variance-heavy upside, not core.
| Leg A | → Leg B | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LE CONCIERGE R12:50 · M1 ★★★★☆ | TAKE IT AS RED R15:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | ✗ | R-5.00 |
| LE TISSIER R12:50 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | TAKE IT AS RED R15:45 · M2 ★★☆☆☆ | R5.0 | 3→2 ✓ | +R16.75 |
EXACTA
Consensus Box · Optional
7 boxes · R44 · R2/perm
+R-3.60 ✓
+R33.20 ✓
▼
≥2 horses both in HP top-3 AND backed by ≥4 tipsters — boxed in all directions. Backtest: ~44% race HR / +103% ROI (T≥4) on real tote dividends.
| Race | Horses (boxed) | T: | Conf | Perms | Stake | Result | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R12:15 | ROYAL LIGHT/ YOU MADE ME LOOK/ WARRIOR OF DESTINY BOX ROYAL LIGHT → WARRIOR OF DESTINY | T:6 | ★★★☆☆ | 6 | R12 | ✓ | +R-3.60 |
| R12:50 | LE CONCIERGE/ LE TISSIER/ RHYTHM KING BOX | T:6 | ★★★☆☆ | 6 | R12 | ✗ | −R12 |
| R13:25 | BLACK ERIKA/ WILLIAM'S WOMAN BOX | T:5 | ★★☆☆☆ | 2 | R4 | ✗ | −R4 |
| R14:00 | TRIP TO CAMELOT/ CHANCE ENCOUNTER BOX | T:5 | ★★☆☆☆ | 2 | R4 | ✗ | −R4 |
| R14:35 | ETOILEFILLANTE/ DOUBLE DASH BOX | T:5 | ★★☆☆☆ | 2 | R4 | ✗ | −R4 |
| R15:10 | GIVE IT LALDY/ OBJET D' ART BOX | T:6 | ★★★☆☆ | 2 | R4 | ✗ | −R4 |
| R15:45 | FINAL CALL/ TAKE IT AS RED BOX FINAL CALL → TAKE IT AS RED | T:5 | ★★☆☆☆ | 2 | R4 | ✓ | +R33.20 |
| Total | R44 | ||||||
🎯 Upset Watch No stake · SP 10-13 · watch for race upsets
Mid-tier horses with a hot T×J combo + sliding handicap mark or fresh return. Historical 32-33% place rate in this band (vs 29% baseline). Not a card bet — indicator only.
| Horse | Race | SP | Trainer | Signals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BACKINTHEFASTLANE | R14:00 | 11x | Candice Bass | T×J hot OR sliding |