Daily Card (historical view)

July 31, 2026 · Fairview Polytrack

🏇 Fairview today — check @TurfTalk1 (Nadine Low Ah Kee) for her Fairview-specific picks before finalising bets.

Card Outcome

+R27.40

6 of 14 bets paid

🔒

Card locked at 11:30 SAST

Selections frozen 30 min before race 1 — this is what was available to bet.

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Win Bets

Horse Race SP Trainer / Jockey Conf Stake Result P&L
MADE TO MEASURE{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} R12:30 3x Alan Greeff / R Fourie ★☆☆☆☆ R2.0 2 R-2.00

Place Bets

Horse Race SP Conf Stake Result P&L
MADE TO MEASURE{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} SPREAD R12:30 3x ★☆☆☆☆ R5.0 2 ✓ +R1.50
JEWEL MULE{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} SPREAD R13:05 2x ★☆☆☆☆ R5.0 NF R-5.00

Swingers

Race Horse 1 Horse 2 Conf Stake Result P&L
R12:30 MADE TO MEASURE KALEESH CYBORG ★☆☆☆☆ R5.0 +R5.50
R13:40 IMAGINABLE BLACK EGRET ★☆☆☆☆ R5.0 R-5.00
R14:55 NEW DAY WINTERONTHEGREEN ★☆☆☆☆ R5.0 +R21.50
R15:30 RHYDIAN AMANATTO ★☆☆☆☆ R5.0 R-5.00
R16:05 FLOWER FESTIVAL POTENZA ★☆☆☆☆ R5.0 +R9.00
R16:40 SAN QUINTIN TERMINAL VELOCITY ★☆☆☆☆ R5.0 R-5.00

VALUE PLACE Outsider Value PLACE

R5 stake · 8+ runner fields

Same horses as the Outsider WIN list, bet on the PLACE market instead. Hits ~1 in 5 with longshot dividends. Backtest: ~+70% ROI across 5 years, positive every year. Low volume (~1 per week).

Race Horse SP Conf Stake Result P&L
R12:30 MADE TO MEASURE{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} 3x ★☆☆☆☆ R8.0 2 ✓ +R2.40

SP 13-17 WIN Experimental · Win market

R1 stake · alerted runners only

Outsider alert (any tier) with SP 13-17 at this venue — 180-day backtest showed +35% to +88% ROI here, a band the standard SP≥20 outsider WIN floor was hard-skipping. New as of 2026-06-10 — treat as experimental until 8 weeks of live data confirm the shape.

Race Horse SP Trainer Tier Conf Stake Result P&L
R13:05 ALESIAN BEAU{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} 15.0x D A McKenzie GOLDEN ★☆☆☆☆ R1.0 R-1.00
R14:55 ATLANTIC PEARL{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} 13.5x Cliffie Miller GOLDEN ★☆☆☆☆ R1.0 R-1.00
R15:30 BLAME IT ON ME{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} 13.5x Juan Nel GOLDEN ★☆☆☆☆ R1.0 1 ✓ +R12.50
R16:40 ARIVIDICIO{# Confidence-Limit signal badge. Expects: cl_pass, cl_hit_rate, cl_lcb, cl_n. Renders only when cl_n is set (i.e. the bet had a calibrated cell, n>=min_n). Non-destructive pilot — flags whether a bet clears the Wilson lower-bound gate. #} 15.0x Tara Laing GOLDEN ★☆☆☆☆ R1.0 R-1.00
DOUBLES Optional · Advanced Bet 1 chains · R5.0 R-5.00 · 0/1 cashed

Cross-race chains on your place picks. Stake R5 on the first horse — if it places, the full return rolls onto the second. Backtest: ~+15% ROI long-term. Treat as variance-heavy upside, not core.

Leg A → Leg B Stake Result P&L
MADE TO MEASURE R12:30 · M2 ★☆☆☆☆ JEWEL MULE R13:05 · M1 ★☆☆☆☆ R5.0 R-5.00
Win: R2.0 Place: R5.0+5.0 Value Place: R8.0 SP13-17: R1.0+1.0+1.0+1.0 Swingers: R5.0+5.0+5.0+5.0+5.0+5.0 Optionals: R5.0
Total: R54.0 + R5.0 optionals · D:R5.0