Card Performance
Simulated — today's rules applied to history · backtest only
Total bets
257
112 winners (43.6%)
Total ROI
3.7%
R1265.0 → R1312.12
Avg daily stake
R42
Avg daily P&L
R1.57
By bet type
| Bet type | Bets | Hits | Hit % | Stake | Return | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outsider WIN (SP≥20) | 0 | 0 | 0% | R0 | R0 | 0% |
| Outsider PLACE (refined) | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | R80.0 | R0.0 | -100.0% |
| Outsider Value PLACE (WIN-as-PLACE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | R0 | R0 | 0% |
| Model #1 PLACE (refined) | 47 | 35 | 74.5% | R235.0 | R204.1 | -13.1% |
| Model #2 PLACE (refined) | 78 | 46 | 59.0% | R390.0 | R376.02 | -3.6% |
| Thaw Watch PLACE (SP 13-20, HIGH) | 0 | 0 | 0% | R0 | R0 | 0% |
| SP-band WIN (SP13-17, experimental) | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | R15.0 | R15.0 | 0.0% |
| Swinger (top-2) | 109 | 30 | 27.5% | R545.0 | R717.0 | 31.6% |
| TOTAL | 257 | 112 | 43.6% | R1265.0 | R1312.12 | 3.7% |
Optional bets Doubles · Triples · Swingers · Exactas — play at discretion
| Bet type | Bets | Hits | Hit % | Stake | Return | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doubles (M1+M2+OA+OAWP, optional) | 334 | 128 | 38.3% | R1670.0 | R1469.52 | -12.0% |
| Triples (top-2 pool, optional) | 522 | 134 | 25.7% | R1044.0 | R1173.1 | 12.4% |
| MP Swinger (mid-placer × rank-1) | 64 | 9 | 14.1% | R320.0 | R249.0 | -22.2% |
| T×V Swinger (trainer×venue × rank-1) | 18 | 0 | 0.0% | R90.0 | R0.0 | -100.0% |
| OPTIONAL TOTAL | 604 | 143 | 23.7% | R1454.0 | R1422.1 | -2.2% |
By venue
| Venue | Bets | Hits | Hit % | Stake | Return | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaal Classic | 29 | 16 | 55.2% | R145 | R291 | 101.1% |
| Fairview Polytrack | 64 | 27 | 42.2% | R270 | R335 | 24.1% |
| Hollywoodbets Scottsville | 33 | 18 | 54.5% | R165 | R170 | 3.4% |
| Hollywoodbets Kenilworth | 35 | 15 | 42.9% | R175 | R169 | -3.1% |
| Turffontein Inside | 32 | 14 | 43.8% | R175 | R142 | -18.5% |
| Hollywoodbets Greyville Polytrack | 53 | 20 | 37.7% | R280 | R191 | -31.7% |
| Hollywoodbets Durbanville | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | R55 | R11 | -79.1% |
Doubles by venue Optional bet — excluded from Total ROI, By venue, and the P&L curve above. Viability check only.
| Venue | Bets | Hits | Hit % | Stake | Return | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaal Classic | 35 | 27 | 77.1% | R175 | R509 | 191.1% |
| Hollywoodbets Scottsville | 41 | 28 | 68.3% | R205 | R284 | 38.7% |
| Hollywoodbets Kenilworth | 56 | 22 | 39.3% | R280 | R212 | -23.9% |
| Fairview Polytrack | 67 | 21 | 31.3% | R335 | R194 | -42.0% |
| Hollywoodbets Greyville Polytrack | 88 | 23 | 26.1% | R440 | R210 | -52.2% |
| Turffontein Inside | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | R210 | R58 | -72.4% |
| Hollywoodbets Durbanville | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | R25 | R0 | -100.0% |
Last 30 betting days — cumulative P&L
| Date | Venue → Result tally | Stake | Daily net | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 25, 2026 |
Hollywoodbets Durbanville:
1W
·
4L
(5 bets)
Turffontein Inside:
3W
·
6L
(9 bets)
|
R75 | R-49.81 | R-49.81 |
| July 26, 2026 |
Hollywoodbets Greyville Polytrack:
1W
·
7L
(8 bets)
|
R40 | R-31.94 | R-81.75 |
| July 29, 2026 |
Hollywoodbets Scottsville:
6W
·
3L
(9 bets)
|
R45 | R-7.0 | R-88.75 |
| July 30, 2026 |
Vaal Classic:
1W
·
4L
(5 bets)
|
R25 | R-16.94 | R-105.69 |
| July 31, 2026 |
Fairview Polytrack:
5W
·
7L
(12 bets)
|
R57 | R16.5 | R-89.19 |
| Aug. 1, 2026 |
Turffontein Inside:
3W
·
2L
(5 bets)
|
R25 | R0.0 | R-89.19 |
| Aug. 2, 2026 |
Hollywoodbets Scottsville:
3W
·
4L
(7 bets)
|
R35 | R-6.5 | R-95.69 |
| Aug. 5, 2026 |
Hollywoodbets Kenilworth:
5W
·
5L
(10 bets)
|
R50 | R-21.0 | R-116.69 |
| Aug. 6, 2026 |
Vaal Classic:
4W
·
3L
(7 bets)
|
R35 | R93.0 | R-23.69 |
| Aug. 7, 2026 |
Fairview Polytrack:
6W
·
8L
(14 bets)
Hollywoodbets Greyville Polytrack:
1W
·
5L
(6 bets)
|
R85 | R32.5 | R8.81 |
| Aug. 8, 2026 |
Turffontein Inside:
4W
·
4L
(8 bets)
|
R45 | R26.5 | R35.31 |
| Aug. 9, 2026 |
Hollywoodbets Scottsville:
2W
·
3L
(5 bets)
|
R25 | R13.5 | R48.81 |
| Aug. 10, 2026 |
Fairview Polytrack:
4W
·
6L
(10 bets)
|
R46 | R-19.5 | R29.31 |
| Aug. 12, 2026 |
Hollywoodbets Kenilworth:
3W
·
8L
(11 bets)
|
R55 | R0.0 | R29.31 |
| Aug. 13, 2026 |
Vaal Classic:
9W
·
2L
(11 bets)
|
R55 | R48.1 | R77.41 |
| Aug. 14, 2026 |
Fairview Polytrack:
5W
·
6L
(11 bets)
Hollywoodbets Greyville Polytrack:
8W
·
5L
(13 bets)
|
R128 | R18.59 | R96.0 |
| Aug. 15, 2026 |
Hollywoodbets Kenilworth:
7W
·
6L
(13 bets)
|
R70 | R15.5 | R111.5 |
| Aug. 16, 2026 |
Turffontein Inside:
3W
·
6L
(9 bets)
|
R55 | R-29.0 | R82.5 |
| Aug. 18, 2026 |
Hollywoodbets Greyville Polytrack:
4W
·
10L
(14 bets)
|
R75 | R-31.94 | R50.56 |
| Aug. 19, 2026 |
Vaal Classic:
2W
·
4L
(6 bets)
|
R30 | R22.5 | R73.06 |
| Aug. 21, 2026 |
Fairview Polytrack:
7W
·
8L
(15 bets)
Hollywoodbets Greyville Polytrack:
4W
·
6L
(10 bets)
|
R119 | R-8.0 | R65.06 |
| Aug. 22, 2026 |
Hollywoodbets Durbanville:
1W
·
5L
(6 bets)
|
R30 | R-23.5 | R41.56 |
| Aug. 23, 2026 |
Hollywoodbets Scottsville:
7W
·
5L
(12 bets)
|
R60 | R5.56 | R47.12 |
W = Won (bet paid out) · L = Lost · R = Refund (scratched)
These numbers reflect what the current Daily Card rules would have recommended over the window. Real bets you placed manually are tracked separately under Claude's Kitty.