Tipster Performance
Sporting Post · 6 sources 4523 settled picks · 4923 total Last 7 days · June 6, 2026 – today ← Daily playsTop-pick (rank 1) performance — all SP bands sorted by Wilson LB
| Tipster | Picks | Wins | Win% | Wilson LB | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ⭐ HorsePlay (model rank-1) | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 0.2185 | -18.8% |
| Magic Tips | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 0.211 | -21.7% |
| Computaform Ratings | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 0.1923 | -16.9% |
| Computaform | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 0.1556 | -41.2% |
| Morning Line | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 0.1556 | -33.3% |
| Sporting Post | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 0.1231 | -33.9% |
| Winning Form | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 0.1202 | -49.5% |
Outsider detection — top-pick SP ≥ 13/1 sorted by Wilson LB
The key differentiator. Which sources can spot big-price winners, not just market leaders? Once ≥ 5 outsider picks per tipster, the consensus badge switches to outsider-specific weights.
| Tipster | Out picks | Wins | Win% | Placed | Place% | Wilson LB | ROI (win) | Weighting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ⭐ HorsePlay (Outsider Detective) | 196 | 17 | 8.7% | 59 | 30.1% | 0.059 | -44.3% | DQS clue-based selection |
| Magic Tips | 0 | 0 | – | – | – | – | – | need 5 more |
| Computaform Ratings | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 50.0% | 0.0 | -100.0% | need 5 more |
| Computaform | 0 | 0 | – | – | – | – | – | need 5 more |
| Morning Line | 0 | 0 | – | – | – | – | – | need 5 more |
| Sporting Post | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 100.0% | 0.0 | -100.0% | need 5 more |
| Winning Form | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | -100.0% | need 5 more |
Wilson LB = confidence-adjusted outsider win rate. When ≥ 5 outsider picks settled,
this replaces the overall weight in the T: N/6 consensus for outsider-priced horses.
⭐ HorsePlay uses the Outsider Detective (DQS clue stack) for big-price picks —
not the ensemble ranking. The row above shows GOLDEN/HIGH/PLATINUM alerts.
Any-pick (ranks 1–3) performance — how often at least one pick lands · sorted by Win%
| Tipster | Total picks | Winners | Win% | Placed | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ⭐ HorsePlay (model rank-1) | 153 | 35 | 22.9% | 83 | 54.2% |
| Morning Line | 134 | 30 | 22.4% | 69 | 51.5% |
| Computaform | 133 | 26 | 19.5% | 61 | 45.9% |
| Magic Tips | 134 | 25 | 18.7% | 63 | 47.0% |
| Computaform Ratings | 135 | 25 | 18.5% | 66 | 48.9% |
| Winning Form | 135 | 25 | 18.5% | 64 | 47.4% |
| Sporting Post | 132 | 24 | 18.2% | 59 | 44.7% |
Settlement
Run after each race day to link picks to results:
docker exec horseplay-cogent-web-1 python manage.py settle_tipster_picks
Options: --date 2026-05-05 · --days 7 · --force (re-settle)